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SpaceX shares drop nearly 50% post-IPO amid profit concerns and looming share supply pressure.

Market News
04 Aug 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Bearish
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SpaceX's stock has fallen about 50% from its post-IPO peak due to worries over its valuation, despite some support from index inclusion. Strong margins from Starlink are crucial, but losses from AI investments and the Starship program threaten overall profitability. The sustainability of new AI-driven revenue remains uncertain. Additionally, an upcoming lockup expiration could release a large number of shares, potentially putting further downward pressure on the stock after earnings. The author has taken a short volatility options position on SpaceX, betting on a decline or limited price movement after earnings due to expected volatility drop.

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