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FOMC members signal rate hikes amid energy-driven inflation, but market expects inflation to ease soon.

Market News
18 Jun 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Neutral
pluang ai news

Nine Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members anticipate interest rate hikes due to an energy shock, despite signs that a US-Iran agreement is reversing. Energy costs caused 60% of the May Consumer Price Index (CPI) increase, but with oil prices stabilizing in the $70 range as Gulf oil flows normalize, inflation pressure is expected to ease quickly. The key concern now is whether core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation cools; if it remains high, actual rate hikes may become more likely. The market's muted reaction to the 10-year Treasury yield suggests confidence that inflation will stay contained for now.

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