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Netflix shares fall despite $2.8B Warner Bros. deal exit and $12.5B 2026 cash flow forecast

Company Fundamentals
19 May 2026
24/7 Wall Street
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Bullish
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Netflix exited a Warner Bros. deal with a $2.8 billion termination fee and raised its free cash flow guidance to $12.5 billion for 2026, while doubling its advertising revenue to $3 billion. Despite strong Q1 revenue growth and cash flow, shares are down due to a missed EPS estimate, tech sector weakness, and loss of content catalyst. Analysts see potential upside with a base target of $326 per share by 2027 if ad revenue scales, content drives engagement, and buybacks continue. However, risks include competition and ad market downturns.

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