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Prediction markets see 76% chance Bitcoin hits $50K before $100K in 2026, signaling bearish outlook.

Market News
28 Jun 2026
Bitcoin
View Source
Bearish
pluang ai news

Prediction markets on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket show a strong bearish sentiment for Bitcoin in 2026, with traders assigning a 76% probability that Bitcoin will hit $50,000 before reaching $100,000. These markets, with over $75 million in combined volume, indicate limited upside near-term and significant downside risk, with only a 14% chance Bitcoin crosses $100,000 before January 2027. The data suggests traders expect Bitcoin to dip below current levels but possibly recover to around $70,000 within the year, while levels above $90,000 are seen as unlikely. This reflects cautious investor sentiment amid current market conditions.

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