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Super Micro stock down 32% in a year but shows 10% upside with strong AI server demand and earnings beat.

Analyst Insights
26 Jun 2026
24/7 Wall Street
View Source
Bullish
pluang ai news

Super Micro Computer's stock has fallen 32% over the past year despite booming AI server demand, hitting a low of $19.48 before recovering to $31.68. The company reported strong Q3 FY26 results with revenue up 123% year-over-year and earnings beating estimates by over 34%. Management projects FY26 revenue between $38.9 billion and $40.4 billion, driven by large orders and new manufacturing capacity. While the company faces risks from high debt and an ongoing export-control review, a recent $7 billion equity raise improves its balance sheet. Analysts see potential upside to $34.92, with a bull case target of $45.02 within a year, making SMCI a buy with 90% confidence if margins stabilize and guidance holds.

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