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SpaceX shares rally 17% after strong Q2 but analyst warns of 46.6% drop risk in 12 months

Analyst Insights
18 Aug 2026
Finbold
View Source
Bearish
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SpaceX shares rose over 17% following a strong Q2 earnings report showing 92% revenue growth to $7.8 billion, driven by Starlink subscriber growth and AI services. However, Phillip Securities analyst Glenn Thum issued a 'Sell' rating, warning of a potential 46.6% price drop to $75 within 12 months due to high capital spending and reliance on short-term contracts. While Wall Street analysts mostly predict a bullish outlook with an average 12-month target of $232.35, the stock faces resistance near $149 and risks a decline if long-term contracts for AI and Starlink are not secured.

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