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Home/News Feed/Rivian shares drop 24% YTD but a $19.74 price target suggests 32% upside on new R2 model and VW deal.
RIVN
$17.80
$0.00 0.00%

Rivian shares drop 24% YTD but a $19.74 price target suggests 32% upside on new R2 model and VW deal.

Analyst Insights
09 Apr 2026
24/7 Wall Street
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Bullish
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Rivian's stock has fallen 24.2% year to date, pressured by higher-than-expected pricing for its new R2 electric vehicle and delayed cheaper variants. Despite this, the company beat Q4 earnings estimates and achieved its first full year of positive gross profit in 2025, boosted by a strong software and services segment linked to its Volkswagen joint venture. The upcoming R2 launch, Uber fleet deal, and substantial funding from VW and DOE loans support a bullish price target of $19.74, implying 32.1% upside over 12 months. However, execution risks remain due to high cash burn, rising liabilities, and dependence on R2 ramp success and software revenue growth.

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