The stock market's performance during Trump's second term is defined by five best and five worst trading days, with the S&P 500 ETF up 21.67% overall since inauguration. However, without the five best days, the market was essentially flat or down significantly, including a 17.67% drop before a sharp 9% rally on April 9, 2025, triggered by a tariff pause announcement. This volatility reflects a market highly sensitive to policy headlines rather than fundamentals, with consumer sentiment low and financing costs high. Investors are advised to focus on position sizing and hedging rather than trying to predict market direction amid such headline-driven swings.
The S&P 500 rally is showing signs of maturing with a weekly exhaustion signal, including a lower low and lower high for the first time since the rally began. This suggests limited upside potential and a risk of the index rolling over. Additionally, ...
The S&P 500 has experienced an eight-week rally, a rare streak indicating strong bullish sentiment among investors. This upward trend is supported by active buying in Small and Microcap stocks, REITs, Consumer Cyclical sectors, and value equities, wi...
The Innovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF (PJUL) is designed for risk-averse retirees, offering a 15% buffer against losses on SPY over a 12-month cycle with capped upside returns. For the July 2025 to June 2026 period, PJUL caps gains at 11.3% net ...
The investor remains optimistic about the S&P 500 earnings outlook but is concerned about rising long-term U.S. bond yields, particularly the 30-year yield surpassing 5%. Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic developments may help ease bond yields before the F...
A financial advisor recommends rolling over a $60,000 state law enforcement pension with a 4% guaranteed return into a Roth Thrift Savings Plan (TSP) linked to a new federal job. While the 4% guarantee seems safe, it may not keep up with inflation or...
