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Small-cap ETF IJR's valuation edge over large-cap SPY fades amid rising rate hike risks.

Analyst Insights
15 May 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Neutral
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The iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF (IJR) has lost much of its valuation advantage relative to the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) due to recent price and earnings changes. Additionally, the outlook for interest rates now suggests a higher chance of rate hikes soon, which could affect small- and large-cap stocks differently. This shift reduces IJR's potential to outperform SPY, signaling investors may need to reconsider small-cap exposure under a higher interest rate environment.

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