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Markets price a rare 31.5% chance of Fed rate hike, shaking Bitcoin ahead of key decision.

Market News
28 Jul 2026
BeInCrypto
View Source
Bearish
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The Federal Reserve's upcoming rate decision has markets divided, with CME FedWatch showing a 31.5% chance of a rate hike and 68.5% chance of holding rates steady. Bitcoin has fallen nearly 2% ahead of the announcement, trading near $63,700, down 46% over the past year. The unusual uncertainty stems from the Fed chair's removal of forward guidance and recent committee dissent, making this one of the most unpredictable Fed meetings since 2020. Investors will watch the dissent count closely, as a unanimous hold could signal consensus, while a hike could trigger a sharp dollar rise and risk-off sentiment impacting Bitcoin and other assets.

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