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Taiwan Semiconductor rated tactical buy with 18% upside before shifting to Hold/Avoid near $470 target.

Analyst Insights
21 May 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Neutral
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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) is rated as a tactical buy with a price target of $468, implying an 18% upside from current levels. The near-term growth is supported by factors like depreciation arbitrage, delayed adoption of High-NA EUV technology, and advancements in Silicon Photonics. However, growth is limited by delays in U.S. data center expansions and margin pressure from overseas operations. Gross margins are expected to plateau at 66–67%, challenging optimistic forecasts of further margin expansion. Investors are advised to consider selling as the stock approaches $470–$490, anticipating a potential inventory correction and earnings revision by late fiscal year 2027.

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