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Pagaya shows strong operating leverage despite Q4 miss, with 68% upside potential on $23 target.

Analyst Insights
28 Apr 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Bullish
pluang ai news

Pagaya Technologies reported a Q4 earnings miss and gave conservative guidance for FY 2026, causing its shares to drop 27%. However, the company demonstrated strong operating leverage by growing GAAP income and free cash flow sequentially despite a tighter model. Pagaya benefits from rising demand in private credit asset-backed financing, with 41% of its ABS funding in 2025 coming from strong ABS transactions year-to-date. The company’s momentum in resecuritization and tighter credit models may reduce impairments and boost earnings. An analyst reiterates a strong buy rating with a $23 price target, implying 68% upside potential from current levels.

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