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Middle East conflict risks oil supply, pushing Brent crude above $100 and impacting inflation and Fed policy.

Market News
09 Jun 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Bearish
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The escalating conflict in the Middle East, particularly between Israel and Iran, threatens the stability of global oil supplies. This has caused recent spikes in oil prices, with Brent crude potentially surpassing $100 if the conflict continues. Such a rise would increase inflation pressures and complicate the Federal Reserve's policy decisions. Additionally, the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve is depleting rapidly, likely dropping below 300 million barrels by late July, reducing its ability to mitigate further supply disruptions. Market hopes for a ceasefire are premature, and ongoing conflict alongside shipping risks in key straits could lead to increased volatility in oil prices and equity markets.

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