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SpaceX's $28.5T market may be a baseline, with falling launch costs unlocking bigger demand, says Peel Hunt.

Market News
29 May 2026
Proactive Investors
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Bullish
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Peel Hunt argues that SpaceX's estimated $28.5 trillion total addressable market is a conservative baseline rather than a ceiling, due to the Jevons Paradox where cheaper launch costs could greatly expand space demand. The market includes $370 billion in space-enabled solutions, $1.6 trillion in Starlink connectivity, and $26.5 trillion in AI applications. Peel Hunt highlights five growth areas: in-space manufacturing, AI-driven earth observation, lunar economy fueling deep space missions, space medicine, and orbital debris management. Despite these opportunities, the broker warns of execution risks tied to SpaceX's reliance on a single leader and unproven next-gen rocket technology.

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