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Rocket Lab shares soar 357% in a year but face a hold rating with 7.5% downside risk ahead.

Analyst Insights
05 Jun 2026
24/7 Wall Street
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Neutral
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Rocket Lab's stock has surged 356.85% over the past year, fueled by its first $200 million revenue quarter and a record $2.2 billion backlog. Despite strong growth and bullish forecasts tied to its upcoming Neutron rocket and Golden Dome contracts, the stock trades above fundamentals with a current price of $122.39 versus a $113.26 price target, implying a 7.46% downside. Analysts remain divided, with some optimistic about future contracts and launches, while concerns persist over high valuation, net losses, and dilution from recent capital raises. The company’s near-term outlook includes Q2 revenue guidance of $225-$240 million and a potential Neutron debut in late 2026, which could significantly impact its valuation trajectory.

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