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U.S.-Japan yen intervention sparks fears but bitcoin's drop linked more to dollar strength than carry trade.

Market News
03 Aug 2026
Coindesk
View Source
Neutral
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The U.S. and Japan coordinated a foreign exchange intervention to strengthen the yen, causing the USD/JPY rate to drop from nearly 164 to 156.5. This move revived concerns about a repeat of bitcoin's sharp sell-off in August 2024, when a stronger yen triggered a major unwind of the yen carry trade, leading to a 20% bitcoin drop. However, current analysis shows bitcoin's recent price moves correlate more with broad U.S. dollar strength than yen movements, suggesting the carry trade may not be the main risk this time. Japanese bond yields continue to rise, while bitcoin remains stable above $63,000, indicating a different market dynamic than in 2024.

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