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Tesla expects flat revenue and 48% net income drop in early FY 2026 with rising expenses and risky new tech bets

Company Fundamentals
24 Apr 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Bearish
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Tesla's early FY 2026 outlook shows stable production volumes but anticipates flat to weak revenue and a 48% decline in net income. Operating expenses are projected to increase by at least 20%, while free cash flow was positive at $1.44 billion in Q1 but expected to turn negative for the rest of the year. The company is investing heavily in ambitious projects beyond automotive, including humanoid robots, AI computing, chip fabrication, and battery manufacturing, which present both growth opportunities and execution risks. This strategy reflects Tesla's balance between maintaining current operations and pursuing high-risk innovations.

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