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RBC warns Iran ceasefire hopes premature as global oil inventories drop sharply.

Market News
29 May 2026
Proactive Investors
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Bearish
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RBC Capital Markets warns that hopes for an imminent ceasefire in the Iran conflict are premature, as the situation remains volatile with ongoing military exchanges. Despite speculation about a 60-day memorandum of understanding to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, shipping risks and sanctions complicate navigation, likely limiting traffic. Global oil inventories have fallen significantly, with strategic reserves accounting for much of the decline and Asia-Pacific stocks hit hardest. RBC expects further inventory draws ahead, with supply tight until demand weakens more substantially. On gold, recent price dips are seen as temporary amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and strong investor demand for safe assets.

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