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Enbridge's CAD 41B backlog supports 5% CAGR but rising debt and pipeline risks loom

Market News
19 Aug 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Neutral
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Enbridge has a secured growth backlog of CAD 41 billion, supporting a 5% long-term compound annual growth rate in adjusted EBITDA, DCF per share, and EPS, with 2027 marked as a major commissioning year. However, about one-third of its EBITDA comes from the Mainline System, which faces medium-term risks from emerging competing pipelines. The company's debt to EBITDA ratio is currently 5.1x, above its target range of 4.5x to 5.0x, and interest expenses consume roughly 27% of adjusted EBITDA, posing a risk amid rising interest rates. Enbridge's stock trades at a premium valuation compared to peers, and preferred shares with rate resets are favored for their insulation against operational risks and currency fluctuations.

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