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Bitcoin's cycle bottom may be near $48,000, says CryptoQuant's CVDD model amid weak demand.

Technical Signals
16 Jun 2026
Crypto Briefing
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Neutral
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CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. highlights that Bitcoin's structural cycle bottom could be around $48,000 based on the Cumulative Value Days Destroyed (CVDD) model, which tracks long-term holder activity. Currently trading near $65,000, Bitcoin has shown a potential accumulation zone at $60,000 and a realized price of about $53,600, which historically signals deep value when breached. Despite the model's strong track record in predicting past cycle lows, weak demand and absent capitulation add uncertainty to the timing of the bottom. Investors should watch for sustained price drops below the realized price, which could trigger panic selling and mark true market bottoms.

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