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Gold prices face pressure amid rising inflation and rate hike fears, with Commerzbank lowering year-end target to $4,800/oz.

Market News
04 Jun 2026
Kitco
View Source
Bullish
pluang ai news

Gold prices have struggled to rise despite inflation pressures from the Iran war and global energy crisis, as expectations for U.S. interest rate hikes increase. Commerzbank analyst Carsten Fritsch notes that the market now expects the Federal Reserve to raise rates later this year, raising the opportunity cost of holding gold, a non-yielding asset. Consequently, Commerzbank lowered its year-end gold price forecast from $5,000 to $4,800 an ounce but still sees potential for an 8% rally if the Iran conflict eases and oil prices fall. The bank expects rates to remain steady until at least Q2 2027, supporting a longer-term gold price target of $5,200 per ounce by the end of 2027. Silver prices were also downgraded due to weaker industrial demand, with a revised year-end target of $80 an ounce.

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