
Eric Fine of VanEck argues that volatility has shifted from emerging markets (EM) to developed markets, while EM debt still offers a yield premium. He highlights that many EM countries have lower debt-to-GDP ratios and stronger fiscal discipline than developed nations, supported by independent central banks and stable politics. This challenges the traditional 60/40 portfolio mix favoring developed market bonds. The real test will be how EM debt performs during future market stress, but Fine's thesis suggests investors should reconsider the role of EM bonds in balanced portfolios.