
SPDR Bloomberg High-Yield Bond ETF (JNK) and Short-Term High-Yield Bond ETF (SJNK) have shown strong past returns due to falling yields and tightening credit spreads, but these positive factors are likely ending or reversing. A significant portion of bonds maturing soon are rated below B-, which historically have low recovery rates, raising concerns about potential losses. Analysis suggests holding these ETFs is risky, akin to betting against the broader economy during volatile times. Investors should be cautious as these funds may face headwinds ahead.