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US bank supports AstraZeneca's $2.6bn sales forecast for HPP drug despite mixed trial results

Market News
01 Apr 2026
Proactive Investors
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Neutral
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AstraZeneca reported mixed phase three trial results for efzimfotase alfa, a treatment for hypophosphatasia (HPP). Positive outcomes were seen in pediatric trials, but adult and adolescent results were less clear due to a strong placebo effect. Citi maintains a buy rating and supports a $2.6 billion peak sales forecast, with potential upside to $4.4 billion, citing easier dosing and broader labeling as key advantages. Regulatory flexibility on secondary endpoints in rare diseases may also help expand the drug's market.

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