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States lost $1B in tax revenue due to unregulated prediction markets seen as backdoor sports betting.

Market News
28 May 2026
CNBC
View Source
Bearish
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The American Gaming Association estimates states have missed over $1 billion in tax revenue because prediction markets, largely unregulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), act as backdoor sports betting platforms. Association CEO Bill Miller highlights that this loss impacts community funding, including Native American tribes. While states argue these markets should be regulated like sportsbooks, the CFTC claims jurisdiction over them as financial derivatives. President Trump supports maintaining CFTC's regulatory control, and the Office of Management and Budget is reviewing related proposals. Prediction market firms claim economic utility beyond sports, but most of their volume involves sports betting contracts.

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