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S&P 500 shows signs of rally exhaustion with risk of decline amid seasonal weakness in June.

Technical Signals
24 May 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Bearish
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The S&P 500 rally is showing signs of maturing with a weekly exhaustion signal, including a lower low and lower high for the first time since the rally began. This suggests limited upside potential and a risk of the index rolling over. Additionally, June is historically a weak month, especially in mid-term election years, which could lead to a flat or lower close after initial attempts to rally. A potential US-Iran peace deal might also trigger a 'sell the news' reaction, adding to the downside risk in the near term.

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