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Alibaba valuation raised to $144-$165 as Quick Commerce losses narrow and AI/cloud growth accelerates

Analyst Insights
09 Jul 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Bullish
pluang ai news

Astrada Advisors has increased its valuation range for Alibaba to $144-$165 per share, up from $128-$148, due to shrinking losses in Alibaba's Quick Commerce segment and strong momentum in AI and cloud services. The Quick Commerce unit is nearing breakeven, with losses expected to drop from RMB 16 billion to RMB 10 billion sequentially, which supports margin recovery. Despite ongoing macroeconomic challenges and overseas competition, the shift towards profitability in Quick Commerce and growth in high-margin cloud services underpin a positive outlook for the second half of the year.

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