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On-chain data signals Bitcoin's bear market is nearing its final phase after 9 months downtrend.

Technical Signals
18 Jul 2026
Zycrypto
View Source
Bullish
pluang ai news

On-chain indicators reveal a downward crossover between Short Term Holders (STH) and Long Term Holders (LTH) cost bases, confirmed over three days, suggesting the Bitcoin bear market is entering its terminal phase after lasting nine months. The STH cost basis has dropped significantly, allowing new buyers to lower their average purchase price, and recently overlapped with the LTH cost basis, signaling the beginning of the end of the bear market. While the market bottom is expected soon, some analysts warn further declines may occur before a clear bottom forms. A future upward crossover of STH and LTH costs would confirm the start of a bull market, but this could take months or over a year to materialize. This pattern indicates Bitcoin's cyclical behavior remains intact despite some claims that its traditional four-year cycle is ending.

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